Crude Oil News

This Oil Pick Up is Just One More Fake-out. Prices Headed To The $30s

This Oil Pick Up is Just One More Fake-out. Prices Headed To The $30s

Since the crude oil bust began in late 2014, prices have rocketed through three major price rallies. Each rally was fueled by widespread hope and expectations – often stoked by announcements from Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other producers – that a market "rebalancing" was imminent due to shale output declines, surging demand, or OPEC intervention. But prices crashed anew after data emerged showing no decline in the glut.
The latest rally began last September amid discussions between some OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut production. The rally gathered steam in December after 22 producers pledged to reduce their combined output by 1.8 million barrels per day from October levels. U.S. West Texas Intermediate soared to $57 per barrel from $45 average in September.Yet despite heady expectations, slowly emerging oil market data once again dashed hopes that producer pledges would cause the towering oil glut to recede as soon as hoped. While Vienna Group producers report high compliance with production pledges, data on stocks, imports, and tanker shipments indicate the glut has not meaningfully diminished.

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